Verifying LLM Inference to Detect Model Weight Exfiltration
Roy Rinberg 1,2, Adam Karvonen 2, Alexander Hoover 3, Daniel Reuter 4, Keri Warr 2
Published on arXiv
2511.02620
Model Theft
OWASP ML Top 10 — ML05
Model Theft
OWASP LLM Top 10 — LLM10
Key Finding
On MoE-Qwen-30B, the verification framework reduces exfiltratable information to <0.5% at a 0.01% false-positive rate, representing a >200x slowdown for adversaries attempting steganographic weight exfiltration.
As large AI models become increasingly valuable assets, the risk of model weight exfiltration from inference servers grows accordingly. An attacker controlling an inference server may exfiltrate model weights by hiding them within ordinary model outputs, a strategy known as steganography. This work investigates how to verify model responses to defend against such attacks and, more broadly, to detect anomalous or buggy behavior during inference. We formalize model exfiltration as a security game, propose a verification framework that can provably mitigate steganographic exfiltration, and specify the trust assumptions associated with our scheme. To enable verification, we characterize valid sources of non-determinism in large language model inference and introduce two practical estimators for them. We evaluate our detection framework on several open-weight models ranging from 3B to 30B parameters. On MOE-Qwen-30B, our detector reduces exfiltratable information to <0.5% with false-positive rate of 0.01%, corresponding to a >200x slowdown for adversaries. Overall, this work further establishes a foundation for defending against model weight exfiltration and demonstrates that strong protection can be achieved with minimal additional cost to inference providers.
Key Contributions
- Formalizes LLM model weight exfiltration via steganography as a security game with explicit trust assumptions
- Proposes a practical verification framework that characterizes valid sources of non-determinism in LLM inference and introduces two estimators for them
- Demonstrates the framework reduces exfiltratable information to <0.5% with 0.01% false-positive rate on MoE-Qwen-30B, yielding >200x adversary slowdown
🛡️ Threat Analysis
The paper's primary threat model is model weight exfiltration — a malicious inference server hides model weights inside ordinary LLM outputs via steganography and exfiltrates them. The paper proposes a verification defense specifically against this model IP theft scenario.